Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.006773 0.007833 0.009077 0.010664 0.012662 0.015135 0.018491
2025-11-02 0.005276 0.006527 0.008147 0.010462 0.013797 0.018627 0.026575
2025-11-09 0.004330 0.005574 0.007284 0.009908 0.014048 0.020764 0.033630
2025-11-16 0.003724 0.004936 0.006676 0.009500 0.014289 0.022840 0.041659
2025-11-23 0.003407 0.004641 0.006490 0.009656 0.015440 0.026886 0.056456
2025-11-30 0.003087 0.004292 0.006155 0.009483 0.015933 0.029842 0.071384
2025-12-07 0.002796 0.003949 0.005776 0.009151 0.016015 0.031941 0.086227
2025-12-14 0.002588 0.003711 0.005536 0.009020 0.016463 0.035128 0.109099
2025-12-21 0.002485 0.003630 0.005543 0.009350 0.018006 0.042050 0.160561
2025-12-28 0.002418 0.003597 0.005629 0.009850 0.020113 0.052157 0.261583
2026-01-04 0.002308 0.003481 0.005548 0.009985 0.021360 0.060492 0.395044
2026-01-11 0.002181 0.003324 0.005373 0.009885 0.021950 0.066940 0.562911
2026-01-18 0.002070 0.003197 0.005261 0.009957 0.023235 0.078575 1.000764
2026-01-25 0.001940 0.003026 0.005050 0.009770 0.023715 0.087494 1.706559
2026-02-01 0.001792 0.002812 0.004729 0.009265 0.023017 0.089536 2.373837
2026-02-08 0.001673 0.002640 0.004477 0.008893 0.022660 0.093595 3.729443
2026-02-15 0.001613 0.002574 0.004433 0.009036 0.024175 0.112714 14.034784
2026-02-22 0.001532 0.002462 0.004283 0.008878 0.024542 0.124647 59.728207
2026-03-01 0.001446 0.002334 0.004089 0.008575 0.024248 0.131037 393.758306
2026-03-08 0.001382 0.002245 0.003969 0.008454 0.024670 0.145718 NaN
2026-03-15 0.001355 0.002226 0.003999 0.008756 0.027038 0.189624 NaN
2026-03-22 0.001340 0.002229 0.004076 0.009212 0.030424 0.267306 NaN
2026-03-29 0.001303 0.002185 0.004043 0.009335 0.032309 0.337660 NaN